NASCAR Phoenix Picks: Best Value Bet for the TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway

One motorist is offering value that is much to pass up, if you are betting the Phoenix NASCAR race of Sunday.
By searching for the ideal line and using historic data from ISM Raceway, we pinpoint which motorist to bet for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 (3:30 p.m. ET, FOX).
Among the simplest ways to locate value when betting on any sport is to shop for the line. « Shopping » only refers to searching for the bet you like as many sportsbooks as possible, then taking the greatest possible line or chances available.

In basketball and football, this frequently means grabbing an additional half-point on the point spread. As an instance, if you prefer the Patriots to cover the spread against the Dolphins and many sportsbooks have the line at New England -7, but one book is offering Pats -6.5, you would wish to choose the -6.5.

That additional half-point signifies »line worth » when compared to the rest of the betting market that sits , yet costs you nothing more than just taking a few minutes to shop for whichever book is offering the ideal line. When gambling smaller sports such as NASCAR — also known as »niche markets » — the difference between lines from sportsbook to sportsbook can be even larger, meaning there’s even more potential value available for the dedicated line shopper.

The Westgate SuperBook at Las Vegas is offering a price on Chase Elliott that too good to pass up for any value-minded NASCAR bettor.

As of 8:40 a.m. ET, Elliott is available at 20-1 in Westgate. I have not seen him anywhere close to this across the rest of the betting market. For example, the MGM casinos possess listed at 8-1.

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